Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.147288 0.172322 0.199852 0.232308 0.269459 0.310585 0.359490
2026-01-11 0.107262 0.141425 0.183089 0.237319 0.305684 0.388616 0.496404
2026-01-18 0.084144 0.121452 0.170616 0.239441 0.332470 0.452894 0.619446
2026-01-25 0.068295 0.106389 0.159943 0.239548 0.353416 0.508692 0.734291
2026-02-01 0.056023 0.093460 0.149215 0.236585 0.367873 0.555113 0.838823
2026-02-08 0.046506 0.082655 0.139412 0.232720 0.379278 0.596798 0.938832
2026-02-15 0.038034 0.071853 0.127708 0.223802 0.381139 0.623487 1.017839
2026-02-22 0.035021 0.069651 0.129322 0.235922 0.416533 0.703286 1.183034
2026-03-01 0.029520 0.062027 0.120615 0.229518 0.420738 0.734029 1.273406
2026-03-08 0.024726 0.054847 0.111577 0.221173 0.420350 0.756642 1.351618
2026-03-15 0.021169 0.049443 0.104964 0.216180 0.424893 0.787245 1.444626
2026-03-22 0.019177 0.046908 0.103419 0.220297 0.445897 0.847196 1.591267
2026-03-29 0.017714 0.045333 0.103679 0.228138 0.474946 0.924266 1.774795
2026-04-05 0.016107 0.043163 0.102452 0.232921 0.498743 0.993989 1.950903
2026-04-12 0.014476 0.040630 0.100075 0.234994 0.517319 1.055371 2.116069
2026-04-19 0.012910 0.037954 0.096979 0.235098 0.531789 1.109881 2.271967
2026-04-26 0.011347 0.034975 0.092755 0.232184 0.539665 1.152157 2.407499
2026-05-03 0.009939 0.032121 0.088394 0.228385 0.545180 1.190009 2.536826
2026-05-10 0.008455 0.028736 0.082226 0.219617 0.539027 1.203936 2.620104
2026-05-17 0.008171 0.028790 0.084686 0.231533 0.579445 1.315125 2.903477
2026-05-24 0.007084 0.026184 0.079889 0.225237 0.578250 1.340162 3.014543
2026-05-31 0.006064 0.023553 0.074606 0.217033 0.571773 1.353407 3.102004
2026-06-07 0.005299 0.021576 0.070807 0.212125 0.572482 1.381915 3.222856